Playing the Libyan card: The Qatari-Turkish Axis

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After about a month of what was dubbed “the Egypt-Qatar reconciliation”, we can confidently claim that Qatar consented to the Saudi king’s initiative in order to avert sanctions that could have been imposed on it by the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC), which could have also resulted its dismissal from the council. Once Qatar was certain that the ambassadors of Saudi Arabia, UAE and Bahrain had returned to Doha, it nonetheless chose to resume its hostile policies towards Egypt.

Whereas some had considered the shutting down of the Al-Jazeera Mubasher Masr channel as a positive step by Qatar, facts on the ground proved that the decision came as a result of the channel’s team rejecting orders to bring about a shift in the channel’s approach. This rejection was considered as a dismissal of the prince’s orders and hence came the decision to close down the channel.

But time revealed Al-Jazeera’s unchanging orientation towards what is unfolding in Egypt. The channel swiftly restored its previous orientation that labels the current regime in Egypt as a the result of a “coup”. This comes in addition to Qatari spending on four channels broadcasted from Turkey-“mekameleen”(We Continue), “rab’aa”, “al sharq” (The East) and “masr al an” (Egypt Now), all of which focus on attacking Egypt and broadcasting lies 24 hours a day.

The Qatari-Turkish hostility is deep-rooted; a reality which isn’t expected to change anytime soon. The Qatar-Turkish alliance received a major blowback when the rule of the Muslim Brotherhood fell in Egypt. This also comes in addition to how both the Iraqi and Syrian regimes were able to attain noticeable developments in their battles with the Islamic State terrorist organisation, despite Qatari funding as well as Turkey’s role in aiding members of the organisation, supplying it with arms and treating its injured members in Turkish hospitals.

This alliance received an impediment when Egyptian forces, including the military and police, succeeded in sieging the terrorist groups that were activated in the aftermath of the toppling of the Muslim Brotherhood’s rule whether in the Delta or northern Sinai. This drove the alliance to hunt for a new way through which it could overburden the Egyptian regime. It found this ample opportunity in supporting extremist groups in Libya and supplying them with developed weaponry. It supported groups such as “Libya Dawn” and “Partisans of Islamic Law” and supplied them with advanced weapons not owned by national armies in the region, especially anti-air craft missiles and fighter aircraft.

They sought the help of the brotherhood’s regime in Sudan to deliver weaponry to these groups. From here, the Qatari and Sudanese planes continued to transfer this sophisticated weaponry to these groups enabling the latter to secure victories against the Libyan national army in a number of locations.

The new factor here is that of the Qatari-Turkish-Sudanese collaboration to transport Islamic State members from Syria and Iraq to Libya and to establish apertures for the Islamic State along the Egyptian borders, which became evident when the organisation’s members executed fourteen Libyan soldiers days ago. Qatar and Turkey are currently coordinating between hardline Libyan groups and Islamic State members to set up one organisational structure and establish control over a big chunk of Libyan land as well as commence guerilla warfare with Egypt to overload the Egyptian Armed Forces along the border that stretches for more than 1,000 kilometres.

For all the aforementioned developments, it is crucial to deal with what is propagated about the reconciliation with Qatar with great caution, and to adequately prepare for terrorist attacks against Egyptians (particularly Copts) on Libyan lands, that aim to disturb the Egyptian state on one hand and to bring about religious tensions inside the country on the other hand, as well as initiate guerilla warfare which is expected to be launched from the Libyan borders.

We trust in Egypt’s ability to eliminate the gangs that operate within Libya, just as it was able to cripple those groups within Egypt.